Retail Price Index reform may cost pensions £122bn

The Association of British Insurers (ABI) said on Friday it has found that UK Government proposals to reform the calculation of the Retail Price Index (RPI) could cost British pension holders and savers £122 billion if plans go ahead to implement the changes in 2025.

“It would affect savers, especially those with defined benefit pensions, as well as companies that invest in government debt linked to inflation (known as index-linked gilts),” said the ABI.

The Government and the UK Statistics Authority are consulting on reforms to align RPI to the historically lower Consumer Prices Index — including owner occupiers’ housing costs, CPIH.

The consultation proposes implementing the changes between 2025 and 2030.

“As some long-term saving products, especially defined benefit pensions, are linked to the RPI measure of inflation, changing to CPIH would significantly reduce the expected returns on these assets, leaving savers out of pocket,” said the ABI.

Estimates by ABI members have found that implementing the proposed changes in 2025 could leave those affected worse off by up to £122 billion by reducing the value of index-linked gilts.

Even the latest proposed implementation date of 2030 would only reduce the impact to £96 billion.

The ABI is calling for the latest possible implementation date to reduce the impact on savers.

The ABI also recommends compensation for savers is considered given the financial implications for them and the wider economy if the reforms go ahead.

It is expected people with life insurance, pensions policyholders and defined benefit pension scheme members will be most affected.

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Mark McSherry
Dalriada Media LLC sites are edited by veteran news journalist Mark McSherry, a former staff editor and reporter with Reuters, Bloomberg and major newspapers including the South China Morning Post, London's Sunday Times and The Scotsman. McSherry's journalism has also appeared in The Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The New York Times, London's Evening Standard and Forbes. McSherry is also a professor of journalism and communication arts in universities and colleges in New York City. Scottish-born McSherry has an MBA from the University of Edinburgh and a Certificate in Global Affairs from New York University.